UAF – Ukrainian Forces
UAS – According to Ukrainian Sources
UGS – Ukrainian General Staff
RF – Russian Forces
RS – Russian Source
R-MoD – Russian Ministry of Defense
Summary of the Events
The major phase of the Russian offensive seems to be petering out even before it gets started. Russian forces are unable to fight within battalions and are operating in smaller units. The lack of tanks suggests that Russia is struggling to replace equipment. It is expected that Russia will gain more ground in the short term but will culminate before it reaches its objective of taking all of the Donbas region.
Eastern Ukraine: (Russia’s Main Objective)
Kreminna – UAF repelled all RF attacks around Kreminna, Chervonopopivka, Dibrova, and Bilohorivka.
Kupyansk – UAF repelled all RF attacks against Hryankivka, Synkivka, and Stelmakhivka.
Donetsk Oblast: (Russia’s Second Objective)
Bakhmut – RF have lessened their attacks as their numbers continue to dwindle. But they likely are still on the initiative and gaining ground one house at a time. RF have reached the first line of high-rise apartments on the eastern side of the city.
RF did not capture all of Paraskoviivka as claimed but have reached the center. RF advanced closer to Zaliznyanske but UAF still control the M30 highway. UAF repelled all other attacks towards Dubovo-Vasylkiv, Berkhivka, Ivanivske, and Chasiv Yar. RF did cross the canal south of Chasiv Yar, but one valiant Ukrainian tank threw them back.
Siversk – UAF repelled all attacks against Vyimka, Rozdolivka, and Fedorivka.
Avdiivka/Donetsk – UAF repelled all RF assaults towards Vesele, Vodiane, and Sieverne.
Marinka – UAF repelled all RF assaults towards Pobieda and Novomykhailivka.
Vuhledar – UAF repelled all RF assaults towards Vuhledar.
Southern Ukraine: (Eastern Kherson, Southern Zaporizhia, and Western Donetsk)
No change on the ground over the last 48 hours in this region.
Other News
Although Ukraine has been pledged 320 tanks by allies, only 50 of them are expected to be delivered by April when Ukraine hopes to start its next offensive.
International Support
The Netherlands has shut down its consulate in Russia because Russia has refused to grant visas to additional staff needed. The Netherlands also expelled several Russian diplomats from Amsterdam claiming they are spying. And the Netherlands shut down their Trade Mission with Russia charging Russia with war crimes against civilians in Ukraine.
The Munich Security Council is focused primarily on the war in Ukraine. Without criticizing Russia, even China gave a speech on the importance of nations respecting the territorial integrity of other nations. China called on Russia and Ukraine to meet and resolve the war with peace talks.
The Foreign Ministers of the G7 nations held a meeting on the side of the Munich Security Conference on Saturday to pledge their support for Ukraine in its conflict with Russia. They promised to maintain and strengthen sanctions against Russia. They also condemned Russia for war crimes against Ukrainian civilians.
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak met on the sidelines of the Munich Security Conference to pledge their support to Ukraine and to work together to provide Ukraine the military assistance they need to defeat Russia.
Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki addressed the Munich Security Conference and called on the European Union to fast-track Ukraine’s application to join the EU and to provide fighter jets to Ukraine.
Major Source Materials
- Institute for the Study of War daily report on the Russian invasion
- Kyiv Post
- Militaryland milblogger site.